Worst Graph Ever

This may be the worst graph I’ve seen in my professional career.

bad graph

  • From a distance it looks like all the lines are heading down. I saw this on a dim screen. I initially thought the takeaway was that all the scores were going down.
  • It is 3-dimensional for no reason. There is no extra information, only graphics for graphics sake.
  • There is no reason to have a legend, since there is only one kind of thing being graphed, but one is present. And the labeling doesn’t match the title of the slide.
  • Differentiation of horizontal scale is essentially even – they all have the same score. That fact is not emphasized. Instead, the horizontal scale is manipulated to emphasize the difference (doesn’t start at zero), but the stretching isn’t enough to show a difference. The manipulation didn’t even help. This leaves the labeling in non-intuitive numbers, 5, 7, and 9.
  • There are horizontal axes guidelines for no reason. And worse, the lines go right through the labeling of the individual values, making the graph cluttered and hard to read.
  • There are axes guidelines on the vertical axes, when the values are just the classes. Just horrible.
  • The values are in no order. They are not sorted by results, they are not alphabetical. There should always be some logic to the way values are stacked.

Mainly, the graph serves no purpose. It gives no actual information. I have no idea what I, as a consumer of this information, am supposed to get. Perhaps it was “All classes are high value to participants”. That information could have been given by writing that exact statement, perhaps with “(all were in the 8-9 out 10 range as judged by participants)”. Since the biggest difference was 0.15 out of 10 points (a piddling 1.5%), perhaps the point was “Our survey showed that no matter what we teach we get the same scores.”

Or perhaps the key takeaway is, “Human Resources should never try to present analytic information.”

Poker Update: Poker Stats

I’ve been playing a lot of Rush Poker at Full Tilt Poker. It records statistics for you. It doesn’t actually log the hands in detail, but gives you some gross metrics. Here is a sample from a recent session:

poker stats

The problem is, I don’t know what to do with this information. What is good, what is bad? I can only see two patterns:

1) I play a lot of hands. 15 out of 89 is a lot, just over every one in six hands. This is true, I’ve been playing a more aggressive style lately.
2) The percentage of hands won goes up as the hand goes on. This seems like a good thing. You have much more money invested at the later stages of a hand, those are the ones you want to win. I don’t mind losing several small pots pre-flop if I can get one big payoff on the river.

Readers – what do you think? What other patterns or indicators should I be keeping an eye on?

Links o’ Interest

Another TSA outrage

Your brain on meth. But seriously, Meth can mess you up good.

Joke book for math people

The good old days

Marching band win

How did I ever miss this? Jerry Seinfeld rips an ignorant Larry King

This is TV

Stealth fighter

We’re not in Kansas anymore…

If Ikea made instructions for other things

Now we finally know, who was on first

The laughing makes me laugh too.

Now that’s acting

Inception, done in real-time

Perspective from Harry Potter

The perfect obituary

It’s a trap!

Lost

Child stars: Then and now

Meteorology

Camping invite

The dead bodies of Everest

The Kids Have Another Classic

I came out of the shower. I was drying myself. The eight-year old says, “Daddy, you should always dry off your penis last.”
“What? Why?”
“You should always do it last so the towel doesn’t get the rest of you.”
“You mean because it’s dirty?”
“Yes!”
“Even right after a shower?”
“Yes!”
“You mean, because the penis is somehow always dirty and filthy?”
“Yes!”

There is a long pause. Then the five-year old chips in.
“Not if it’s made out of candy!”

Suitcase Full of Cash

A simple plan cash

A common trope in movies is the suitcase full of cash. Sometimes it’s the protagonist stumbling across it (No Country for Old Men, A Simple Plan). Sometimes it’s for ransom.

But whenever you see it, the suitcase is full of cash. A briefcase is filled right to the brim, in neat piles that all happen to add up to the correct amount. A duffel bag is bulging. Have you ever found a scene where the briefcase is filled most of the way, but not quite? No, it is always filled up 100%. Whoever is filling that briefcase must go through a lot of math to get it figured out. “Let’s see, my suitcase has these dimensions, a packet of $100 bills takes up so much space, I need to get this much total money… maybe if I replace 3 packs with 20 dollar bills instead… or get a bigger suitcase… Argh, I wish I had paid attention in Algebra II, I’m sorry Mr. Koetke!”

suitcash1

suitcash2

User Interface: Washer and Dryer

This is a picture of my new washer being installed.

Notice that the vent for the dryer is to the left of the water lines for the washer. As a result, the easy way to hook them up puts the dryer on the left of the washer. I don’t like it. It’s just wrong. There is a normal process of moving things from the washer to the dryer, and any process naturally runs from left to right. The same way we write. It is a normal convention. Does this look correct to you?

Evolution of Man Reversed

Good Business Lingo

Picking on business-speak is easy. But there are some good business terms. One of them is actionable. Actionable draws a distinction between knowledge that is interesting and knowledge that drives a decision. You wouldn’t want to fund an expensive research study that isn’t going to drive some action. You wouldn’t to do an analysis that will just end up in a drawer somewhere. It is only worth doing if it will drive some kind of action.

Someone who understood this was Sherlock Holmes. The below excerpt is from his first adventure, A Study in Scarlet.

His ignorance was as remarkable as his knowledge. Of contemporary literature, philosophy and politics he appeared to know next to nothing. Upon my quoting Thomas Carlyle, he inquired in the naivest way who he might be and what he had done. My surprise reached a climax, however, when I found incidentally that he was ignorant of the Copernican Theory and of the composition of the Solar System. That any civilized human being in this nineteenth century should not be aware that the earth travelled round the sun appeared to be to me such an extraordinary fact that I could hardly realize it.

“What the deuce is it to me?” he interrupted impatiently; “you say that we go round the sun. If we went round the moon it would not make a pennyworth of difference to me or to my work.” “You see,” he explained, “I consider that a man’s brain originally is like a little empty attic, and you have to stock it with such furniture as you choose. A fool takes in all the lumber of every sort that he comes across, so that the knowledge which might be useful to him gets crowded out, or at best is jumbled up with a lot of other things so that he has a difficulty in laying his hands upon it. Now the skilful workman is very careful indeed as to what he takes into his brain-attic. He will have nothing but the tools which may help him in doing his work, but of these he has a large assortment, and all in the most perfect order. It is a mistake to think that that little room has elastic walls and can distend to any extent. Depend upon it there comes a time when for every addition of knowledge you forget something that you knew before. It is of the highest importance, therefore, not to have useless facts elbowing out the useful ones.”

Sherlock Holmes, in “A Study in Scarlet”

schlock

Incorrect understanding of how the brain learns and memorizes aside, what he is saying is that the knowledge that the earth goes around the sun was not actionable, and therefore not needed.

One dimension that actionable takes place on is time. A bit of knowledge might be useful, but not for a few years out. Another dimension is tactics vs strategy. A piece of knowledge may contribute to a better understanding of the big picture, leading to a change in strategy. Businesses will fund research that doesn’t drive any immediate actions, but will help them develop long term strategies. Just because you can’t see the immediate action something drives doesn’t necessarily mean that is is pointless. However, it is very helpful to force yourself to explicitly consider what decisions will be driven from knowledge. If you can’t come up with any, that should call for re-examination of the effort.

Interestingly enough, Holmes came to regret this attitude as Watson turned the tables on him.

Holmes: “I looked up at the sun. It was low in the heavens, and I calculated that in less than an hour it would lie just above the topmost branches of the old oak. One condition mentioned in the Ritual would then be fulfilled. And the shadow of the elm must mean the farther end of the shadow, otherwise the trunk would have been chosen as the guide. I had, then, to find where the far end of the shadow would fall when the sun was just clear of the oak.?

Watson: I imagine both trees must have grown since the Musgrave Ritual was written, but what do you mean when you say that the sun was “just above the branches? of the oak?

Homes: I suppose it must be a mile or so up to clear the mountains, but I could still tell that it was directly over the oak.

Watson: Do you remember me telling you that the earth goes around the sun? You said you would try to forget it, to leave room in your brain for more important facts.

Holmes: And so I have.

Watson: But the orbit is such that the sun is never directly overhead anywhere in England!

Homes: From where I was standing, it looked like it was right over the oak. So then I just had to locate the far end of the shadow from the elm….

Watson: But surely you’ve noticed that where the shadow of a tree falls varies with the day of the year, not just with the hour of the day? This is a direct consequence of the orbital pattern you were so eager to forget.

Holmes: It’s good that I have you to keep track of such minor details. I hadn’t noticed.

Watson: You saw, but you did not observe.

Muttroxia: The Best of 2010

2010 was a pretty lame year for Muttroxia, and 2011 is even worse so far. But you know, there were a few okay posts here and there….

Learn how to play Craps (Parts 1 and 2)

An analysis of website security questions

The readers call me out for an odd poker play

Muttrox goes to court

Many posts about our trip to France

I rip apart Bill Simmons for his stupid statistics, and this guy was pretty dumb also.

Fun with kids:
The 4-year old has standards , and he fights God. Here’s a funny story I improvised for them, and a story I stole from my boss.

Business Lingo
I join the rich conservatives for a post on housing

Joe Scarbarough likes to masturbate.

I just noticed this while I was compiling this post – I have the same complaint about the same website two times! I’d forgotten I’d already complained about it. Man, I really hate those 360 reviews!

The 7-year Old Scores a Point

During the snowpocolypse (how do you spell that?) last month our family was stuck inside for a week. We were going stir crazy. Finally the seven year old had had enough.

Him: Auuggh! I am so homesick!!
Me: Me too. But the word homesick doesn’t mean what you think, it’s the exact opposite.
Him: ??
Me: It means wanting to be home so bad it makes you sick.
Him: But Dad, being carsick means that you are sick of being in the car. Shouldn’t homesick mean that you are sick of being in the house?
Me: Hrm.

I thought he had a good point. And not just because I had cabin fever.

The Joys of Parenting

Since the day our oldest child was born, I have been waiting until he was old enough to read him The Hobbit. Was five years old enough to understand it? Would he get it at six? I was always tempted to start it, but managed to hold off until he was seven and a half. It was finally time to set him down and read.

My oldest child is jaded. He’s been skeptical and cynical all his life. Nevertheless, he was soon enthralled. His eyes went wide at Mirkwood and he was literally sitting on the edge of the bed when Smaug finally appeared. Nearly every night for a month he stayed up a little later than his brother and listened to the adventures of Bilbo Baggins. That month was a sublime experience for me, one of the pure unadulterated joyous parenting experiences.

bilbo and gandalf

Last week, “Whole Lotta Love” came on the radio while we were running some errands. Naturally, I turned it up. After thirty seconds, he yelled at the top of his lungs, “This is the best song I’ve ever heard in my whole life!” Introducing him to Tolkien was sublime. But blowing his mind with some seriously hard Zeppelin for the first time… that was special too!

zep

Links o’ Interest

Muttroxia says I’m not quite dead yet…

Joe Biden cracks up at the idea of Sarah Palin beating Obama.

And they say smoking isn’t cool. That’s cool.

Texas mailbox

Bruce Lee playing ping-pong. With nunchuks! Mindblowing.

Kids just ruin those special moments

Conan O’Brien – He does his own stunts

Objectified: He and his 5-year-old son Max, along with a few friends, made a homemade spacecraft out of a Thai food takeout container, outfitted it with an HD video camera and an iPhone, and a few weeks ago used a weather balloon to launch it into the stratosphere.

Is this considered irony?

Measuring in Hitlers

Nice comeback

Political advertising from the 1800s.

No pain, no gain.

Little Billy’s letters

Designers notes to potential client (lovely)

The 2010 Darwin Awards. This one actually has video of the death. Amazing although disturbing.

Payback

They found Waldo!

Amazing carnival basketball player

The god of cake

Acid is so much fun

The world’s biggest climbing wall

Celtics fan with over-the-top dance-along to Bon Jovi

Now this is a great trick play (football)

Collection of links of people getting more than they bargained for

Naked Grandma was the first thing you thought of!?

Frankie Muniz burn

The Genie wish

The wedding day has finally come

Two years in prison

Why Atomic Robo hates Mr. Dinosaur

Interesting facts about Prohibition

15 story building built in 48 hours.