Muttroxia

Sports

All NBA predictions refer to the 2024/2025 season that ends June 2025.

• The NBA MVP will once again be Nikola Jokic. (I drafted that a couple weeks ago. SGA is now the favorite, but I’m sticking with Jokic. His stats are better this year than last year, c’mon.)
• The Thunder win the Western Conference. Sorry Nuggets, Rockets, Grizzlies – there is one elite team in the West and it’s the Thunder.
• The Cavaliers or Celtics win the Eastern Conference. Sorry Knicks, Bucks, 76ers – there are two elite teams in the East and it’s these two. I went back and forth on The Celtics – it’s very easy to see how they could win it all, and it’s also easy to see them getting knocked out in the second round (they might meet the Cavs before the conference finals), in the end I’m not predicting anything for them.
• The Oklahoma City Thunder will be in the NBA finals three of the next five years . They are already one of the best teams out there and have a sickening amount of high draft picks and cap space over the next few years. This won’t be settled for a few years of course.
• The Atlanta Hawks will continue to be mediocre or worse. Sorry, I don’t buy the hype. Last year I correctly predicted they would be under 55%, and they ended the calendar year just below that. The prediction is that they will finish the 2024/2025 season at 60% or less. That is, they might improve slightly in the back half of the season, but not much.
• The NBA All Star game will continue to suck. You can play with the format all you want, but the stars still don’t want to play hard.
• Payton Pritchard will win the sixth man award, the stupidest of all NBA awards.
• The New England Patriots win two more games in 2025/26 season than in 2024/25. The Patriots finished 4-13, so I predict them to win 6 or more games next season. This is a combination of Maye getting better, getting a decent coach (please be Vrabel), and regression to the mean. Update: They did hire Vrabel. That’s worth a win or two, and they have a great draft pick, let’s be optimistic and predict 8 wins.
• Bijan Robinson will have over 1,500 yards in 2025/26: (He had over 1,7000 this year so this is not a longshot. But Pennix is passing more and more, they won’t have to relay on Robinson as much.
• Saquon Barkley will have less than 2,000 yards in 2025/26. Regression to the mean again.

The Economy

My hypothesis is the economy under Trump won’t change much. It’s been consistent since 2010 (excluding the pandemic and aftereffects). Trump will change his mind about many ideas, won’t be able to make them happen, or they won’t matter that much.

• Inflation does not increase much in 2025. Although Trump comes to office explicitly planning policies which increase inflation, it won’t happen. The post-pandemic inflation bubble will continue deflating (in the USA as everywhere). Prediction is that the average for 2025 will be between 2.3% and 3.5%. Source.
• The Misery Index will stay below 7 in 2025. The Misery Index is the sum of unemployment and inflation. Despite Trump’s terrible policy ideas, the American economy will continue to hum along. Trump was handed a great economy, he won’t screw it up much.
• Electric car sales finish above 10% in 2025 Q4. Even if all incentives are removed, that won’t happen until 2026. Many consumers will buy now, while the tax credit is in place.

Politics

• The election interference case against Trump in Georgia will not be decided against him in 2025. That weird phrasing is because I think the likeliest outcome is it all falls apart somehow, and the next most likely is that it is delayed past 2025.
• Congress passes no significant legislation about immigration. Why start now?
• There is at least one real threat of government shutdown in 2025. (Holy cow, there was already one before Trump even took office. WTF.)
• No major Democrats are indicted for crimes related to their political activities. That is, while Trump and the FBI may go after his various enemies, none of them will be formally indicted. (If they are indicted for the usual corruption that doesn’t count, only political activities.)
• At least two of these four get confirmed… Trump owns the GOP, they won’t push back. The picks are Pete Hesgeth for Defense, RFK Jr for Health and Human Services, Tulsi Gabbard for Director National Intelligence, and Kash Patel at the FBI.

Randoms

• One of these three people will die in 2025: Clint Eastwood, Alan Greenspan, Mel Brooks.
• Muttroxia will have a month with four or more posts after January. I’m switching it up! I’ve always taken the under.

See you next year for the scoring!

2024 was a good year for Muttroxia predictions.

In 2024, I made a change. Although I gave confidence levels for each prediction, I am scoring as simply right or wrong. There isn’t enough of a difference between the levels and the sample size is far too small to conclude anything.

Interestingly, Matt Yglesias came to the same conclusion, all his 2025 predictions are set at the 80% level. As I modeled these posts on his, it’s good to see we did the same tweak.

At press time, I have correctly predicted 12 out 14 (85%), with two questions removed. and one more waiting on data.

That’s much better than in 2023 (56% right). Why? Either I got better at predictions (that is the entire goal of the exercise), I got more cautious about predictions, or maybe it’s just random variation.

Sports

• The NBA MVP will be Jokic (70%).
  • Yes. I should have specified the year. This refers to the MVP award given out in 2024, for the 2023/2024 season. For the NBA I am making awards based on half the season already played.
• The NBA MVP will be Jokic, Luka, or Giannis (90%).
  • Yes.
• Celtics make it to the NBA Finals (80%):
  • Yes! The boys won it all!
  • Neither University of Georgia nor University of Michigan will win the College Football National Championship (that is technically played in 2025) (80%):
• Yes. The returning champs University of Michigan had a bad year, although they had several huge wins (beating Ohio State never gets old, and same for Alabama). Although they were ranked at #2, UGA lost to Notre Dame last night in their first CFP game.
• Bijan Robinson will have over 1,200 yards (70%):
  • Yes. He’s at 1,693 yards and the regular season isn’t over yet.
• The Atlanta Hawks will continue to be mediocre or worse. They’ll end up at 45 wins or worse, a winning percentage of 55% or worse as of December 31, 2024 (70%).
  • Yes. The Hawks have 18 wins and 15 losses, which is 54.5%. Whew, barely made that one! There is a lot of talk about The Hawks this year. Trae Young had modified his game and is trying to play defense, De’Andre Hunter is suddenly great, and the rookie is good. They are doing better this year than last (they finished at 43.9% last year). Fans should feel positive about the improvements, but they are still not a great team.

Six for six in sports predictions!

The Economy

• Inflation continues to decline in 2024 (90%). The prediction is that inflation will be below 4.1 (Dec 2023) in December 2024.
  • Yes. Technically not determined yet, but c’mon. The last 11 months have all been below the benchmark, it has averaged below 3% for the year so far — this is an easy win. Enjoy your gift of a good economy Mr. Trump.
• Average Gas Price has gas price at $3.00. on Election Day (70%):
  • No. Gas prices were around $3.20 on election day.
• The stock market will become more unbalanced (70%).
  • I’m going to kill this question. I found many interesting sources, but nothing with a straightforward number tracked over time. JP Morgan and others see concentration at an all-time high, and believe it may/will reverse. I believe it is a consequence of true changes in the world, and will continue.
• Electric car sales top 10% in the USA. (80%)
  • TO BE SETTLED Q3 was 8.9%, and it has risen each quarter, so maybe? It’s pretty close. By the way, this prediction was for fully electric cars. When you include hybrids, it’s over 21%. Wow, I didn’t realize it was so high.

Inflation:

Politics

• None of the four Donald Trump trials finishes before election day. This does not include appeals. No verdicts. 80%.
  • Yes. The New York trial finished, he was found guilty on 34 counts. But he wasn’t sentenced. I don’t know how to score this one because I didn’t define “finished” well enough. Update: My favorite legal podcast offhandedly said that a conviction isn’t final until sentencing. The judge may push for sentencing, just to preserve the conviction.
• Congress passes no significant legislation about immigration (90%):
  • Yes.
• No major political figures are both impeached, and then convicted by the Senate (90%):
  • Yes.
• Dems retain control of Senate (60%):
  • No. The GOP has 53 seats now. What a dumb prediction, I just really wanted it to be true.
• Trump or Biden, who wins?: Nope. Pass. Next one. I can’t even talk about it. God help us.
  • NO JUDGEMENT. The fact that I wouldn’t make this prediction tells you everything. In my heart of hearts I knew what would happen. Sigh. I gave Kamala 40-45% odds of winning, and she was obviously better positioned than Biden, so I kinda did predict the outcome.

Leftovers

• Two of these five people will die in 2024 (70%): Jimmy Carter, Ethel Kennedy, Mel Brooks, Dick Van Dyke, Alan Greenspan
  • Yes. Ethel Kennedy died on Oct 10^th. Jimmy Carter died on Dec 29^th. (Dick Van Dyke looks great for 99, and this video is just wonderful.)
• Muttroxia will not have any months with over five posts after January. (80%). Last year I set this at 10 posts and was nowhere close, it’ll be a little more competitive this year.
  • Yes. The closest was July with four. I don’t expect much of a change this year.

I have been actively engaged with AI over the last few weeks. It’s simply incredible.

In about 45 minutes, I used Co-Pilot for Github to write a decent Hangman game in HTML and Javascript. The key is that I never referenced the code or anything technical. Instructions were simple English:

• “Make the letter choices a grid, and they get greyed out after a guess.”
• “If the players loses, show the correct word and the definition.”
• “Your hangman has four legs, bring it back down to two.”
• “That code didn’t work, I got an error message. Fix it.” etc.
  

That was eye-opening. But this… this… just press play.

This fake podcast was generated by AI (Google, Vertex AI). I simply pointed the system to www.muttrox.com, and had this five minutes later. Wow.

The future is here. My mind is blown.

Last year I posted about the National Popular Vote. This is a cool constitutional hack. State by state, a state agrees that it will gives all of its electoral votes to the winner of the national popular vote. This only goes into effect once enough states have entered into the deal that their combined electoral votes are above 270, which means they now determine the election.

At the time I wrote that, we were at 195 electoral votes. Today we are at 209. Only 61 to go!

One of the problems with any change that effectively broadens the voting pool is that it usually favors the Democrats, because they tend to have more votes. So Republicans tend to fight these kinds of initiatives. You could say Democrats are the party of voting and democracy, but perhaps that is less a moral cause than a strategic one. At some point they become the same thing.

For the first time since 2004, the Republicans indisputably won the national vote. That means that they should be more open to the National Popular Vote than before. It’s an unusual time in American voting patterns, maybe we use that to promote some good ideas, like this one.

So — take some action. Write your state legislators.

This year I’m following seven different football teams. I can’t stay on top of every game! Here’s my order of priority:

1. Old School Fantasy Football League: Now that the Patriots aren’t so great, most of my focus goes here. I’ve been playing fantasy football with this group of people since 2008. This league has a lot of pride in it, the stakes are very high. Over the last couple years I’ve been trading more and more so I need to follow closely. Let’s go Jalen Hurts!
2. Atlanta Falcons: Who would have expected this? But they are exciting, a lot of upside, I can get to a couple games in person if they’re good, I don’t need NFL Sunday Ticket, I have Bijan Robinson in both fantasy leagues… let’s go Falcons!
3. University of Georgia: My oldest son goes here. They won the national championship his freshman and sophomore years, and they have good odds to do it again now in his senior year. We usually go to a game each year. Go Dawgs!
4. University of Michigan: My own alma mater, the defending national champions. I doubt they’ll be great this year. But if they have a good season, they could easily move up a couple ranks in this depth chart.
5. New England Patriots: I’ve followed them since I knew what football was. I had the twenty greatest years with them any fan could hope for. I followed them for a couple more after that. But this year — there’s not even hope. C’mon.
6. Florida State University: My son just started there, I was all ready to be a fan, I had them higher in this list — and then they lost the first two games before the real season started. Sad. I’ll tune in for scores I suppose.
7. Work Fantasy Football League (who cares)

Last Friday we were supposed to fly to Detroit for the wedding of a good friend. But last Friday was the Crowdstrike issue. Yikes! Our flights were cancelled and there were no others. What could we do? Simple. Throw the bags in the Tesla, head on out to Detroit, 700+ miles in either direction.

How did it work out?

Superchargers network: Fantastic. This is the first time we’ve gone more than five hours from home. Based on those drives, we were not nervous at all. And it was correct not to be nervous, there weren’t any problems. The navigation feature that plots your routes finds the correct superchargers to stop at, how long to stay there, how much to charge up, etc. It has it all figured out.

There are plenty of superchargers along the way. All of the stops were very close to the highway exits, we never had to go far out of the way. All of the stops were near grocery stores, restaurants, or malls. There was always a place to eat and easy ways to kill time. Charging added somewhere around two hours to the total driving time in each direction. If you’re nervous about the network, don’t be. Relax.

Self-driving: The full-self driving is great. Eleven hours of driving was not the slog you might think. In fact, we had a fun time because we didn’t have to pay nearly as much attention to the road. We were more physically relaxed because the driver could move their arms and legs around, it’s not as physically demanding. The self-driving is noticeably better than a year ago, we didn’t have one “What the hell is it doing!!!???” moment.

Self-parking: Self-parking is a nice little sub-feature of the self-driving package. When you are near a parking spot, you can tap on a dialog, and the car will park itself. My daughter took her drivers test last month, and one of the main skills of backing into a space is already obsolete.

Dollars: Let’s break it down. We spent about $140 in charging, for about 1,450 miles of travel. We’ll call that one dollar per ten miles. Let’s say a gas powered car is 25 miles to the gallon (it’s mostly highway driving), that’s 58 gallons needed, at about $3.50 a gallon is $203. So the Tesla is under 70% of the cost of a gas vehicle. That’s honestly worse than I expected, I thought it would be cheaper by a factor of two or three. I’ve been spoiled by the electricity costs of charging through the house. Superchargers are more expensive — Tesla charges you a premium to get the car ready quickly (roughly twenty five times faster than home charging). It would have been better if the hotel had free charging, as many do.

So on straight up energy costs Tesla wins over gas vehicles by a good margin.

But driving has other costs. Besides the energy bills, we spent $70 to stay in a terrible hotel in Dayton, Ohio the first. On the other hand we didn’t pay Delta for two flights, nor parking our car at the airport. All in all, we spent ~$210 driving our EV compared to the ~$650 we would have spent by flying. Not bad!

Joe Biden is being feted by all. What a sacrifice he has made! What a patriot! Like George Washington, Biden was willing to walk away from power for the good of the country.

I’m not as convinced, walking away from a campaign that will certainly lose isn’t seem incredibly heroic, though it’s something. The heroes are the Democrats who pushed him out, which could easily have doomed their own careers.

Let us begin with the Republican Party, and the awful dynamics we’ve watched for the last eight years. Trump would be a historical blip, except for the large numbers of Republicans who put their personal careers over their duty to their country. Nearly every one of them knew exactly how unfit Trump was for office, how dangerous he was to the country, how he should not be allowed anywhere near the Oval Office. Yet, nearly every single one of them bent the knee. When push came to shove, they put their careers ahead of their country.

Liz Cheney is one of the only heroes, who did all she could. In the end it was not enough, and her political career is essentially over. She made the sacrifice. Who else did? No one. The GOP dug their own graves, one by one, as each politician sold out save their own skin at the price of letting a corrupt ignorant fool to become president. I don’t know how they can look in the mirror.

Now let us pivot to the Democratic party, and the choices for down-ballot Senators and Representatives over the last couple weeks. They knew that sticking with Biden was bad for them. But speaking up to replace Biden would also be bad for them — if it didn’t work. And it probably wouldn’t work. Of course he did step down, but that was not a likely outcome, that’s why it is a historic event. The odds were that Biden would stay in the race, he would lose, and the Democratic establishment would go after anyone who tried to get him out. For these politicians, their self-interest was to stay silent and hope Biden wouldn’t drag them down.

Their choice was not as obvious as that faced by the GOP. But the dynamic was similar. Their own selfish interests incentivized them to allow Biden to continue as nominee even while believing he was not up for the job. That is the same choice the Republican Party failed so badly.

A few days ago, it looked as if the Democratic Party would fail it also. But they did not. Behind the scenes (and eventually openly) many pushed for Biden to step aside. Rank and file members, leadership (particularly Nancy Pelosi do not mess with her ever really), and other party elders gradually moved to push Biden out.

Again, the choice facing the Democratic Party was not as stark facing the GOP. The balance of self-interest and patriotism was not as bad as that facing the GOP, so there was not as much pressure to do the right thing. But in the end, the Democrats did the right thing for the country by removing their candidate who was not fit for the job. All those involved in making the happen should be commended.

Just a couple weeks ago I predicted that Biden would not drop out of the race. I was wrong. History is made.

I did predict that Kamala would pick up endorsements from everyone in the first 48 hours, would get to the convention fully anointed and in control of both Democratic money and delegates. Sadly, I wasn’t at a computer and only said it in a phone conversation. It wasn’t a hard prediction, little credit to be awarded.

So what happens next? The Trump campaign has been fearing this for a long time. Their campaign was explicitly built to go after Joe Biden particularly. (I recommend this interview about the Trump Campaign strategy. It is far more discipline and smart than I realized.) Without Biden, many of the GOP attacks are irrelevant or greatly weakened. While Trump was surprisingly under control during the debate (and the first fifteen minutes of his acceptance speech), he will get absolutely crushed in a debate where voters can see how crazy and old he is without Biden for comparison.

Trump will not be able to control himself for very long. As Harris starts going after him and scoring points, and his usual attacks don’t land, he is going to revert to racism and sexism. He won’t be able to help himself. I don’t think that plays well. The GOP has done a great job of working to attract minorities, he’s going to sabotage all that work. And though Harris may have been selected for VP because of her gender, and she is very vocal on abortion, she has never made gender central to her pitch, unlike Hilary in 2016.

What are the odds of her winning? I put it at 40-45%. In the end, it is hard to change the minds of voters. This will help, but the advantages are still with the GOP. Trump has been ahead for a year, and I don’t think this will help enough. Obviously I hope I’m wrong. (Quick straw poll of my political friends – all were in the 40-55% range.)

UPDATE (July 10): Well, this is what happens when you do your own take without doing enough research. Everything below holds up just fine through page six of the decision. The expectation was for the Supreme Court to lay out these guidelines and then send the case back to the lower courts. The lower courts would then determine if Trumps actions were official, presumptively official, or unofficial, and to move forward based on that determination.

Instead the court decided to rule on many of the main elements (in Trumps favor), which there was no need to do. Then they made some (crazy as heck) rules about what was official and what wasn’t. Then they said that in most of these cases, you can’t even investigate. Just insane.

I end up agreeing with just about every other pundit and columnist. The decision is terrible, and fundamentally un-American. No one is above the law, even the president. Until now.

For intellectual honesty, I leave the original post below.

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It’s the end of democracy. Joe Biden pre-empted Jeopardy to tell us all how terrible it was. Every publication and pundit and podcast is going crazy. They’re wrong. I think the decision is perfectly correct.

The nature of that power requires that a former President have some immunity from criminal prosecution for official acts during his tenure in office. At least with respect to the President’s exercise of his core constitutional powers, this immunity must be absolute. As for his remaining official actions, he is entitled to at least presumptive immunity.

…As for a President’s unofficial acts, there is no immunity. Although Presidential immunity is required for official actions to ensure that the President’s decision making is not distorted by the threat of future litigation stemming from those actions, that concern does not
support immunity for unofficial conduct.

The key point is the distinction between official and non-official actions. Actions under the President’s official duties are essentially immune to criminal prosecution. The office requires wide latitude to effectively govern the nation. Sure, that makes sense.

But, unofficial actions are still up for game. Don’t ignore the second paragraph! The trick is distinguishing which is which. That’s appropriate! Everything Trump did around Jan 6 was not official actions. Campaigns (and of course insurrections) are not part of Presidential duties.

That’s the question Jack Smith should have been litigating. The question wasn’t if Trump was immune for official actions, the question was if Trumps actions were official. It was a mistake not to frame it that way in the first place. Now it has to be litigated, which will take us past the election.

There is another silver lining. Consider all the retribution that Trump has promised against Biden. With this decision Biden can’t be prosecuted by a Trump DOJ. The Supreme Court likely had this in mind as well.

All in all, a good decision.

The best candidate for President is different than the best Presidential Candidate. Right Hillary?

I didn’t watch much of the debate and didn’t need to. Biden looked shockingly old, and brought the worst version of himself. Trump is an incoherent liar, and brought the best version of himself.

The calls for Biden to withdraw from the race came quickly. And they are just as ridiculous now as they have been for months. It’s not gonna happen. There are two problems.

Firstly, who would the nominee be? Every pundit is silent here. Because none of the other candidates match up better against Trump. Andrew Sullivan this week, “For the first time this year, we have a chance of keeping Trump out of the Oval Office with a new nominee from a younger generation. No, I don’t know who — except it obviously cannot be Kamala Harris…”

Ezra Klein was well ahead of the pack, asking for a new candidate months ago. But he went through a long list of alternatives, and they were all worse. Kamala Harris, Gretchen Whitmer, Wes Moore, Jared Polis, Gavin Newsom, Raphael Warnock, Josh Shapiro, Cory Booker, Ro Khanna, Pete Buttigieg, Gina Raimondo, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Chris Murphy, Andy Beshear, J.B. Pritzker… do you think of any of them have a better shot of beating Trump? Of course not.

Every pundit is failing this basic test. Who would do better?

Secondly, this is a collective action problem. Collective action is hard. The Democrats would need to get rid of Biden, do it without generating animosity, find someone new, agree on someone new, line up behind this new person, get the machinery of the party working on their behalf, all without fracturing their own base. Good luck.

Do you remember the bitterness between team Hilary and team Sanders? Tell me how the convention will pick a new candidate without half the party being so angry at the choice they stay home on Election Day.

Let’s go back to 2016. Donald Trump was disliked by most of the GOP party, both in the elite and the base. As his support grew, it became apparent he might actually win the nomination by splintering the rest of the vote across multiple candidates. If some of those candidates had dropped out, Trump would have lost. But no candidate would voluntarily take the hit, as a group they couldn’t agree to do it, and Trump won. No one would bell the cat. In office it was the same. Every couple of months a new Senator, Rep, cabinet official, major media figure or such would turn on Trump. But far too late. And far too scattered. If at any point these cowards had stood together against Trump… but they didn’t and couldn’t.

Now the Democrats have the same problem. There is no way to coordinate the decision making.

It’s not gonna happen. Joe Biden is the candidate, and will stay the candidate. Add this to my list of 2024 predictions, no way he drops out.

Is this the least surprising headline ever? Supreme Court Sides With Republicans Over South Carolina Voting Map. Gee, who could have seen that coming.

The current interpretation of the Constitution is just insane. Think hard about this sentence:

Republican lawmakers acknowledged that they had redrawn the First District for partisan gain. But they said they had not considered race in the process.

I believe the Republican lawmakers. Sure they are the party of the racists, but most of them are not particularly racist, and that’s not their focus. The focus of the Republican Party is the continued power of the Republican party. Disenfranchising black voters is just an unfortunate side effect of that goal.

Because it’s perfectly fine to disenfranchise voters to keep one party in power. And it’s fine to then use that power to appoint judges who say it’s all fine. This is done openly. It’s all perfectly legal. Sending a giant torpedo into the scow of Democracy, no problems there. After all, there is no affirmative right to vote at all.

It’s truly disgusting.

The answer is to amend the Constitution. America needs an affirmative right to vote. There is already an excellent organization, FairVote, devoted to this idea. Here is the proposed text:

SECTION 1. Every citizen of the United States, who is of legal voting age, shall have the fundamental right to vote in any public election held in the jurisdiction in which the citizen resides.

SECTION 2. Congress shall have the power to enforce and implement this article by appropriate legislation.

The case against Trump has these major elements:

1. He had an affair with Stormy Daniels.
2. He covered up the affair.
3. He falsified business records.
4. His cover up was election interference.

Are all these elements true and proven?

He had an affair with Stormy Daniels: Unquestionably true. The evidence is strong, consistent with Trump’s past behavior and both of their actions. This is not a crime by itself.

He covered up the affair: Unquestionably true. Also not a crime.

He falsified business records: Unquestionably true. The evidence is overwhelming. If he had simply paid her out of his personal accounts, there would be no case at all. Since he paid her through corporate accounts, it is falsification of business records. These are misdemeanors.

His cover up was election interference: This is where it falls apart. The theory is that if had not covered this up, the public would have known about the affair, and coming on the heels of the Access Hollywood tape, it might have swung the election. This is true, it might have! But it is not election interference. Election interference is things like stuffing the ballot box, threatening election officials, and storming the US Capitol. Election interference is interfering with the mechanisms of the election process. Election interference is not trying to influence public opinion.

Consider some other examples:

• 2020 Joe Biden has his machine in South Carolina lean hard on local papers to support him in the key Democratic primary.
• Joe Biden agrees to a full interview, but only with the Smartless podcast, not the New York Times.
• Republicans lean heavily on Fox News and other outlets to continue hyping stories they think will hurt Democrats – immigration, Gaza, crime, etc.

None of these are true election interference. (Warning: I am not a lawyer.) They are just politics. Trying to influence what people believe and prioritize to change their voting behavior is not election interference, it is normal democracy.

When you take away election interference, you are left with Trump using his business to pay off Stormy Daniels, and lying about it in the business accounting. That is not a felony. None of the thirty four felony charges hold up. Therefore, he should be acquitted.

TL:DNR: Trump did everything he is accused of, but that’s not really a felony. Therefore, acquital.