2025 original predictions are here.
I made 20 predictions. I got 13 right, missed on 5, and took 2 out. Thirteen out eighteen is 72%. That’s a bit worse than last year (80%). I’m happy with that score. I didn’t get any wrong in politics and the economy. Sports was the weakest subject.
Sports
- The NBA MVP will once again be Nikola Jokic. Nope, it was SGA.
- The Thunder win the Western Conference. Yes. And the title.
- The Cavaliers or Celtics win the Eastern Conference. Nope, it was the Pacers.
- The Oklahoma City Thunder will be in the NBA finals three of the next five years. Ongoing. They got in this past year, so they need to be there two out of the next four.
- The Atlanta Hawks will finish the 2024/2025 season at 60% or less. Yes. They were 40-42, 49%.
- The NBA All Star game will continue to suck. No. It wasn’t what it should be, but it didn’t suck. You know why? There was only one reason. Wemby. One great player giving a shit and coming to embarrass everyone else made all the difference.
- Payton Pritchard will win the sixth man award. Yes.
- The New England Patriots will win 8 or more wins. Yes. Holy cow, we went to the Super Bowl somehow. Incredible.
- Bijan Robinson will have over 1,500 yards in 2025/26. No. He barely missed, with 1,478 yards. Dang.
- Saquon Barkley will have less than 2,000 yards in 2025/26. Yes. 1,140 yards.
The Economy
My overall prediction is the economy under Trump wouldn’t change much.
- Inflation average for 2025 will be between 2.3% and 3.5%. Yes. Inflation averaged 2.6%.
- The Misery Index will stay below 7 in 2025. Yes. But so close, it averaged 6.95
- Electric car sales finish above 10% in 2025 Q4. N/A. It averaged 9.4%. I phrased the prediction badly. I meant that it would hit 10% by Q4. It did, hitting 12.5%, but then bombed in Q4. I didn’t specify the question well, so I’ll remove it.
Politics
- The election interference case against Trump in Georgia will not be decided against him in 2025. Yes.
- Congress passes no significant legislation about immigration. Yes.
- There is at least one real threat of government shutdown in 2025. Yes. There was one before he even took the oath.
- No major Democrats are indicted for crimes related to their political activities. Yes. In fact, Trump pardoned or dropped cases against Democrats up on corruption charges.
- At least two of these four get confirmed:. The picks are Pete Hesgeth for Defense, RFK Jr for Health and Human Services, Tulsi Gabbard for Director National Intelligence, and Kash Patel at the FBI. Yes. Shamefully, they were all confirmed.
Randoms
- One of these three people will die in 2025: Clint Eastwood, Alan Greenspan, Mel Brooks. No. 95, 100, and 99 respectively. Clint and Mel are still working.
- Muttroxia will have a month with four or more posts after January Yes! April 2025 had four posts.
I will skip these in 2026. It’s already near the end of March, it’s not fair to start now. Besides, I don’t want to make any predictions about politics. The most obvious one is that Trump will significantly interfere with the midterm elections. It’s been a clear progression since he was elected. He already tried to overthrow the last one, he’s laying the groundwork to do it again.