At the mid-point I have 6 correct and 2 incorrect. The rest are yet to be decided.
Sports
All NBA predictions refer to the 2024/2025 season that ends June 2025.
- The NBA MVP will once again be Nikola Jokic.
- No. It should have been though!
- The Thunder win the Western Conference.
- Yes.
- The Cavaliers or Celtics win the Eastern Conference.
- No. Wow, bad luck here. Both teams had huge injury issues.
- The Oklahoma City Thunder will be in the NBA finals three of the next five years.
- The Atlanta Hawks will continue to be mediocre or worse. The prediction is that they will finish the 2024/2025 season at 60% or less.
- Yes. The Atlanta Hawks ended the season at 40-42, for a winning percentage of 48.8%
- The NBA All Star game will continue to suck.
- Yes.
- Payton Pritchard will win the sixth man award.
- Yes.
- The New England Patriots win 8 games in 2025/2026.
- Bijan Robinson will have over 1,500 yards in 2025/26:
- Saquon Barkley will have less than 2,000 yards in 2025/26.
The Economy
My hypothesis is the economy under Trump won’t change much. Trump will change his mind, can’t execute his policies, or they won’t matter that much.
- Inflation does not increase much in 2025. Prediction is that the average for 2025 will be between 2.3% and 3.5%. Source.
- Average so far is 2.6%.
- The Misery Index will stay below 7 in 2025.
- The Misery Index is at 6.5.
- Electric car sales finish above 10% in 2025 Q4.
- Not looking good. Q1 was 7.5%. All liberals hate Tesla now, and Republicans haven’t changed their tune.
Politics
- The election interference case against Trump in Georgia will not be decided against him in 2025.
- Very confusing. Six charges were removed, Fani Willis was dismissed from the cast, not sure if a sitting president can be indicted, but the case is still alive.
- Congress passes no significant legislation about immigration.
- Why bother? Congress is sitting back and letting Trump do whatever he wants. Law, schmaw.
- There is at least one real threat of government shutdown in 2025.
- Nothing so far with Trump in power, though there was one while he was still taking power. This was a bad prediction… shutdowns are a technique by Republicans to exert leverage when the Democrats are in power. Democrats just don’t do this.
- No major Democrats are indicted for crimes related to their political activities.
- So far so good.
- At least two of these four get confirmed:
- Every single one confirmed. Every single one terrible… amazingly enough Gabbard might be the best of the lot.
Randoms
- One of these three people will die in 2025: Clint Eastwood, Alan Greenspan, Mel Brooks.
- So far they are all doing good.
- Muttroxia will have a month with four or more posts after January.
- Yes, I did four in April, mostly to win this prediction.